Nkhani

Mkhalidwe Wapano

Mayiko a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), omwe ali ndi Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, ndi United Arab Emirates (UAE), amatenga gawo lalikulu pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi.

Chigawo cha GCC ndi malo opangira aluminiyamu padziko lonse lapansi, omwe amadziwika ndi:

Opanga Akuluakulu: Osewera akuluakulu akuphatikizapo Gulf Extrusions LLC (UAE), Aluminium Products Company (ALUPCO, Saudi Arabia), Arabian Extrusion Factory (UAE), ndi Al-Taiseer Aluminium Company (Saudi Arabia). Makampaniwa ali ndi mphamvu yopanga pachaka yopitilira matani 60,000.

Zotulutsa ndi Zogulitsa kunja: Derali ndilogulitsa kunja kwambiri aluminiyumu yoyamba, zotayira za aluminiyamu, ndi zotayidwanso. Mu 2023, mayiko a GCC onse pamodzi adatenga pafupifupi 10% ya kupanga aluminiyamu padziko lonse lapansi.

Ubwino wa Mphamvu ndi Malo: Mphamvu zotsika mtengo komanso malo abwino kwambiri pamphambano za ku Europe, Asia, ndi Africa zimapereka zabwino zambiri pakupanga ndi kutumiza kunja kwa aluminiyamu.

Export and Import Trends: Maiko a GCC amatumiza ma aluminiyamu ndi ma aloyi a aluminiyamu kumayiko osiyanasiyana, kuphatikiza United States, Japan, Netherlands, ndi Italy. Mu 2021, zotumiza ku United States zidafika matani 710,000, zomwe zikuyimira 16% yazogulitsa zonse. Aluminiyamu ndi zitsulo zotayidwa kunja, komabe, ndizowonjezereka, ndi India ndi China zomwe zikuphatikiza 87% yazonse zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja.

Kufunika Kwamagawo Ofunikira Pamaubwenzi Oyendetsa

Mgwirizano waposachedwa pakati pa China ndi mayiko aku Middle East uli pafupi kukulitsa kufunikira kwa zinthu za aluminiyamu ndi aluminiyamu mdera la GCC. Zitsanzo ndi izi:

China-Arab States Cooperation Forum Projects: Mapangano a zomangamanga pansi pa Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) apangitsa kumanga madoko, malo osungiramo mafakitale, ndi ntchito zachitukuko zamatawuni m'maiko onse a GCC.

Abu Dhabi Khalifa Industrial Zone: Mgwirizano wapakati pa China ndi UAE kudzera ku Khalifa Industrial Zone umathandizira chitukuko cha zomangamanga, chomwe chimafuna kugwiritsa ntchito aluminiyamu yochulukirapo pamapangidwe ake.

Kukula kwa Port Duqm ku Oman: Consortium yotsogozedwa ndi China ikutenga nawo gawo pakukulitsa Port ya Duqm, ndikupanga imodzi mwamalo akulu kwambiri mderali ndikuyendetsa kufunikira kwa aluminiyumu muzomangamanga.

Saudi Neom Project: Mzinda wamtsogolo uno uli ndi mapulojekiti akuluakulu anzeru omwe aluminiyamu ndi chinthu chofunikira kwambiri pomanga mokhazikika.

Mavuto ndi Mwayi

Zovuta: Makampani ang'onoang'ono otulutsa aluminiyamu ku GCC nthawi zambiri amakumana ndi zovuta zokhudzana ndi kuchuluka kwachuma komanso mpikisano kuchokera kwa osewera padziko lonse lapansi.

Mwayi: Kukula kofunikira kwa zida zokhazikika komanso zopepuka padziko lonse lapansi, kuphatikiza ndi ntchito zamaluso zamapangidwe, zikuyika opanga ma aluminium a GCC kuti awonjezere gawo lawo pamsika.

Zowoneka Zambiri

Gulu 1: Zizindikiro Zofunika Zachuma za Mayiko a GCC (2023)

Gulu 2: Kupanga Aluminiyamu M'maiko a GCC (2023)

Gulu 3: Zomera Zotulutsa Aluminiyamu ndi Mphamvu Zopanga M'maiko a GCC
Unit: 10,000 matani / chaka

Table 4: Trend of Aluminium Extrusion Imports to GCC from China(2014-2023)

Kusanthula kwa PEST

1, Zinthu Zandale

• Kukhazikika ndi Ulamuliro: Maiko a GCC amadziwika chifukwa cha ndale zokhazikika, ndi machitidwe olamulira omwe amakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi utsogoleri wozikidwa pa mafumu. Kugwirizana kwa zigawo kudzera mu GCC kumalimbitsa mphamvu zokambilana pamodzi ndi kugwirizana kwa mfundo.
• Malo Olamulira: Ndondomeko zolimbikitsa ndalama zakunja zakunja (FDI) ndi kusiyanasiyana kwa mafakitale akhala zofunika kwambiri, makamaka ku UAE ndi Saudi Arabia. Mgwirizano wamalonda waulere ndi mfundo zabwino zotumizira kunja zimathandizira ntchito zachuma m'derali.
• Mavuto a Geopolitical: Ngakhale kuti chigawochi chili chokhazikika, chigawochi chikukumana ndi mikangano yazandale, monga vuto la diplomatic ku Qatar, lomwe lingakhudze chidaliro cha osunga ndalama komanso kuyenda kwa malonda.

2, Zinthu Zachuma

• Kusiyanasiyana Kwachuma: Kudalira kwambiri mafuta otumizidwa kunja kwachititsa mayiko a GCC kuti asinthe chuma chawo. Zochita ngati Saudi Vision 2030 ndi njira zamafakitale za UAE zikufuna kuchepetsa kudalira ma hydrocarbon.
• Ubwino wa Mtengo wa Mphamvu: Maiko a GCC amapindula ndi ndalama zotsika kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi, zomwe ndizofunikira kwambiri pakupikisana kwa mafakitale omwe amagwiritsa ntchito mphamvu zamagetsi monga kupanga aluminiyamu.
• Ziwerengero Zofunika: Pofika mu 2023, GDP yophatikizidwa ya mayiko a GCC inali pafupifupi $2.5 thililiyoni, ndi magawo omwe sanali amafuta amathandizira pafupifupi 40%.

3, Social Zinthu

• Chiwerengero cha anthu: Chiwerengero cha anthu amderali, chodziwika ndi kuchuluka kwa anthu ochokera kumayiko ena, chikuchititsa kuti pakhale kufunikira kwa zomangamanga, nyumba, ndi katundu wogula.
• Dynamics ya Workforce: Mayiko a GCC amadalira kwambiri anthu ogwira ntchito zakunja, kuphatikizapo aluso komanso osaphunzira, pantchito zamafakitale.
• Kusintha kwa Chikhalidwe: Kuchulukirachulukira kwamatauni komanso kusinthika kwamakono kumalimbikitsa machitidwe a ogula, ndikuwunika kwambiri kukhazikika komanso ukadaulo.

4, Zinthu Zaukadaulo

• Innovation ndi R&D: Maiko a GCC akuika ndalama muukadaulo kuti apititse patsogolo zokolola zamakampani komanso kukhazikika. Kupanga mwanzeru ndi makina opangira makina akutengedwa m'magawo ngati kupanga aluminiyamu.
• Kusintha kwa digito: Maboma akugogomezera zoyeserera za digito, kuphatikiza chitukuko cha mizinda yanzeru komanso kukhazikitsidwa kwa njira zapamwamba zoyendetsera zinthu.

Mapeto

Makampani a aluminiyamu a GCC akuyembekezeka kukula, mothandizidwa ndi mtengo wotsika wamagetsi, malo abwino, komanso kuyika ndalama pazatsopano. Kuchulukitsa kwa mgwirizano ndi China pama projekiti a zomangamanga kumatsimikiziranso kufunikira kwa zinthu za aluminiyamu. Ngakhale zovuta zidakalipo, kuyang'ana pa kukhazikika ndi kusiyanasiyana kwachuma kumapereka mwayi waukulu wa chitukuko chamtsogolo.